Brendan, I've read the chess.com report. I've watched a lot of Youtube commentary by Nakamura, some by GMs Caruana and Chirila, less by GMs like Bennie Bok, Aman Hambleton.
I can't see any evidence of recent OTB cheating by Niemann. I agree that his history of online cheating is ugly, but online chess appears to be really dirty. The 3 US Ch. games so far appear normal.
Hans is in an almost impossible position. Must be difficult to play given all the pressure. Wins will result in more aspersions being cast, losses in "I told you so".
Impasse likely to continue, I don't expect big developments. Best thing IMO would be for Hans to refrain from online play for a year or two, keep playing OTB and let his results "speak for themselves". It would behoove him to be more accommodating/friendly with postgame interviews, lest invitations dry up (Nakamura has noted this).